Can Carnival cruise survive?

Carnival holds more than $4 billion in unrestricted cash as of the end of Q4. And since most analysts forecast a return to profitability by the second half of fiscal 2023, Carnival will likely survive. However, thanks mainly to the pandemic, it holds approximately $34.5 billion in debt.



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The world's largest cruise line operator is trading 126% higher in 2023. It might not be too late to hop aboard. The waves keep rising for Carnival (CCL -6.60%). Shares of the world's largest cruise line operator have more than doubled this year, and the Wall Street accolades keep coming.

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However, investors should note that Carnival's debt levels more than tripled throughout the COVID-19 crisis. It ended the first quarter of fiscal 2023 with $32.7 billion in long-term debt, compared to $9.7 billion at the end of fiscal 2019, which gives it a staggering debt-to-equity ratio of 5.6.

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Cruise giant Carnival was hit hard during the worst of the pandemic. Now, a top Wall Street analyst has issued a dire potential outlook for the company in the case of recession. Morgan Stanley's Jamie Rollo outlined a worse-case scenario: Carnival stock could fall to $0 in the event of a global economic downturn.

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Carnival stock price stood at $12.74 According to the latest long-term forecast, Carnival price will hit $20 by the end of 2024 and then $25 by the end of 2026. Carnival will rise to $30 within the year of 2028, $35 in 2030, $40 in 2033 and $45 in 2035.

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CLIA forecasts passenger numbers will not only meet but exceed pre-pandemic levels by the end of 2023. And according to Cruise Industry News' cruise ship orderbook for ocean-going vessels, nearly 40 new ships are lined up to debut this year alone, with more than 75 vessels on order through 2027.

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Most cruise lines are now operating at full capacity, with the age of Covid restrictions in the rear view mirror. But questions remain.

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Is Carnival stock a Buy, Sell or Hold? Carnival stock has received a consensus rating of buy. The average rating score is and is based on 35 buy ratings, 19 hold ratings, and 13 sell ratings.

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Carnival stock is not keeping up with soaring revenue Carnival's business performs much better than its stock performance would suggest. Carnival reported record revenue in the most recent quarter of $6.8 billion, but the stock is still in the bargain bin.

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The most popular cruise line is Mediterranean Shipping Company (MSC), with an average revenue of $22.86 billion. The second most popular cruise line is Carnival Corporation with a revenue of $12.2 billion, followed by Royal Caribbean Group with $8.8 billion in annual revenue.

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