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Do flights go up around Christmas time?

Fares could get much pricier within days For Christmas, domestic round-trip flights are still hovering at $400 on average, per Hopper data. However, after about Oct. 14, prices are likely to consistently get more expensive and travelers will have a more challenging time finding the best deals.



Yes, flight prices for Christmas 2025 and 2026 follow a predictable "peak demand" curve, often increasing by 30% to 100% compared to mid-November rates. Airlines use dynamic pricing algorithms that detect the massive surge in search volume for the December 18–January 5 window. In 2026, the "Goldilocks Window" for booking Christmas travel is typically September to early October. If you wait until December, you are not only paying for the seat but also for the scarcity, as many popular routes sell out completely. To save money, travelers are increasingly flying on Christmas Day itself or very early on Christmas Eve, which are often the "cheapest" days in a very expensive week. Additionally, "return" flights on January 1st and 2nd are historically the most expensive days of the entire year. Another 2026 trend is the "Holiday Buffer"—travelers leaving on the Tuesday before Christmas to avoid the Friday/Saturday "travel meltdowns" and the highest price hikes.

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Domestic flight prices for trips during the 2023 holiday season are on an uphill climb until the new year, according to an industry economist.

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Set your calendar for early October For Christmas 2023, that means the typical low prices for airfare should occur around the first week of October through the end of the month. According to Google, Oct. 12 should have the lowest airfare for those who want to travel the Friday before Christmas (Dec. 22).

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Along with peak summer, the period between Christmas and New Year's is typically one of the most expensive times of year for flights. It is, not surprisingly, also one of the most popular times of year for travel. 2023 will be no exception, especially as many people skipped out on holiday travel last year.

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The general rule is that for domestic flights, travelers should start searching for flight tickets one to three months in advance. For international flights, the best prices are typically available from two to eight months in advance. Prices can also vary widely among airlines.

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It's ideal to search for airfare at these moments: International airfare: 6 weeks ahead. Domestic airfare in summer: 47 days ahead. Domestic airfare in autumn and winter: 62–69 days ahead.

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Generally, Tuesday, Wednesday and Saturday are the cheapest days to fly, while Fridays and Sundays are pricier, according to travel deal site FareCompare. Leisure travelers tend to fly on the weekends, either starting their vacations on Friday or taking a long weekend Friday to Sunday.

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According to Going's analysis, travelers want to look for the so-called Goldilocks Window (not too early, not too late) to get the cheapest airfare. For domestic flights, Keyes said that's one to three months in advance for off-peak trips and three to six months for peak-season travel, such as Christmas and New Year's.

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But even compared to pre-pandemic prices, airfares are lower. Average U.S. airfares are more than 6.5% lower in September 2023 than they were in September 2019, meaning prices aren't just lower than they were last year, but even lower than what they were pre-pandemic.

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Perhaps even more significant is the stark drop over the past year. August 2023 U.S. airfares averaged 13% lower than what they were in August 2022. Things get especially interesting when compared to pre-pandemic prices.

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Is there a cheapest month to fly? If you're looking for a bargain month to travel, February is your best bet. Flights in January closely follow February for being most affordable. At the other end of the spectrum, December and July are the first and second most expensive months to travel, on average.

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TSA is projecting to screen 2.6 million passengers on Tuesday, Nov. 21; 2.7 million passengers on Wednesday, Nov. 22 and 2.9 million passengers on Sunday, Nov. 26, which will likely be the busiest travel day.

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Average domestic airfare price by day
  • Tuesdays and Wednesdays are the cheapest days to fly domestically.
  • Saturday and Monday flights can help you avoid the Sunday rush.
  • Wednesdays and Thursdays are the cheapest day to fly internationally.
  • Book one to three months in advance.
  • Set a price alert.


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