How bad is hurricane season in July?

Less than one named storm forms in each of the early months. On average, there's one June named storm in the Atlantic, Caribbean or Gulf of Mexico every one to two years. July has a slightly higher rate of occurrence, but it has still averaged less than one named storm per year since 1851.



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Overview: Elsa was the earliest 5th named storm on record as of the end of the 2021 hurricane season. Areas along the west coast of Florida experienced as much as 2 to 3 feet of storm surge, and 6 to 10 inches of rain fell across portions of southwest Florida.

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NOAA's update to the 2023 outlook — which covers the entire six-month hurricane season that ends on Nov. 30 — calls for 14-21 named storms (winds of 39 mph or greater), of which 6-11 could become hurricanes (winds of 74 mph or greater). Of those, 2-5 could become major hurricanes (winds of 111 mph or greater).

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When is hurricane season in the Caribbean? Officially, Caribbean hurricane season begins on 1 June and ends on 30 November but this is a bit misleading. Historically, the period when hurricanes can cause disruption and damage is much shorter, between mid-August and early October.

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