An average September produces nearly 30% of a season's named storms, more than 40% of all hurricanes and more than 60% of major hurricanes.
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NOAA's update to the 2023 outlook — which covers the entire six-month hurricane season that ends on Nov. 30 — calls for 14-21 named storms (winds of 39 mph or greater), of which 6-11 could become hurricanes (winds of 74 mph or greater).Of those, 2-5 could become major hurricanes (winds of 111 mph or greater).
According to the U.S. National Weather Service (NWS), hurricane season in the Caribbean runs from June 1 through November 30 and normally peaks in August and September. The Caribbean region is a part of the Atlantic hurricane season, which also impacts Florida and other parts of the coastal southern United States.
What month should you avoid in the Caribbean? Due to the risk of hurricanes, September and October are the months when it is wise to avoid the Caribbean.
As hurricane season looms, many travelers may be wondering where it is safe to travel during the summer months. Typically, travelers may want to be wary of locations like Bermuda, the Bahamas, Puerto Rico and the U.S. Southeast and Gulf coasts during hurricane season.
The U.S. is by far the king of tornadoes and other severe storms. “It really starts with kind of two things. Number one is the Gulf of Mexico. And number two is elevated terrain to the west,” said Victor Gensini, a Northern Illinois University meteorology professor.