How much is Lake Mead expected to rise?

Under the Probable Minimum scenario, Lake Powell's physical elevation is projected to be 3,572.23 feet on December 31, 2023. With intervening flows between Lake Powell and Lake Mead of 1.31 maf in calendar year (CY) 2023, Lake Mead's physical elevation is projected to be 1,065.01 feet on December 31, 2023.



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Lake Mead expected to have gained 20 feet of water by end of 2023. By the end of the year, the water level at Lake Mead is expected to be at least 20 feet higher than it was in January, according to a Bureau of Reclamation forecast released this week.

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On the evening of August 20, 2023, Lake Mead, the largest reservoir in the US by water capacity, recorded a water level of 1,063.62 feet above Mean Sea Level (MSL). This level is significantly lower than its full capacity, standing 165.38 feet below the full pool of 1,229.00 feet.

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It would actually take six more years of heavy rainfall in a row to refill the Lake Mead reservoir completely. Time is ticking to solve the problem before future droughts dry up the lake completely. Without irrigation, farmland like this in California and other western states would revert to the desert.

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Electricity would not just be the only thing lost. Without Lake Mead, Las Vegas would lose access to 90 percent of its water sources. If Lake Mead were to reach dead pool, it would technically still be able to supply drinking water to Las Vegas. But there will not be enough water for agricultural activities.

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The water levels for Lake Mead are projected to reach slightly over 1,065 feet by January 2024, according to the Bureau of Reclamation, in large part due to an extremely wet winter that eased the effects of the longstanding drought. In October 2022, the water levels were at a historic low, at roughly 1,046 feet.

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Powell's physical elevation is projected to be 3,574.30 feet on December 31, 2023. With intervening flows between Lake Powell and Lake Mead of 1.32 maf in CY 2023, Lake Mead's physical elevation is projected to be 1,065.42 feet on December 31, 2023.

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Although Lake Mead has started to recover, it still has a long way to go before it is stable and healthy. After reaching record lows in 2022, Lake Mead has seen some signs of recovery in 2023 thanks to a precipitation-heavy winter that increased the snowpack throughout the Colorado River Basin.

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What happens if Lake Mead dries up forever? If Lake Mead were to run out of water, the Hoover Dam would no longer be able to generate power or provide water to surrounding cities and farms. The Colorado River would essentially stop flowing, and the Southwest would be in a major water crisis.

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Officials have warned that dead pool could be reached by 2025, if the lake continues drying up at the rate it is currently.

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When the snow eventually begins to melt, gravity will take over. As the water flows down from higher elevations, it begins a long journey that does not end at Lake Mead. According to the Las Vegas Valley Water District (LVVWD) the water will slowly seep into the ground.

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The last time Lake Mead was at maximum capacity, reaching an elevation of about 1,220 feet near the dam, was in 1983 and 1999, NASA notes.

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There are many places to swim in the bright blue waters of Lake Mead and Lake Mohave. Be aware that there are no lifeguards in the park. Always wear a life jacket. Most fatalities at Lake Mead National Recreation Area could have been avoided if the person in the water was wearing a life jacket.

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Lake Mead has a maximum depth of more than 532 feet. This massive reservoir is the largest in the U.S., having a capacity of 28,945,000 acre-feet. The reservoir was part of the original construction of the Hoover Dam on the Colorado River between Nevada and Arizona.

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Hydrology. Lake Mead is fed by the Colorado River and three smaller tributaries: the Virgin and Muddy Rivers and Las Vegas Wash. Gregg Basin and Temple Basin are fed by the mainstream of the Colorado River, which now enters Lake Mead at the northern end of the Gregg Basin, nearly 60 miles upstream of Hoover Dam.

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As of July 18, 2022, Lake Mead was filled to just 27 percent of capacity. The largest reservoir in the United States supplies water to millions of people across seven states, tribal lands, and northern Mexico.

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Who uses the most water from Lake Mead? The primary users of water from Lake Mead are the states of California and Arizona. Both states have been working to reduce their water usage in order to preserve the lake, but it is estimated that California still uses about three times more water from the lake than Arizona.

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