The busiest time for tropical storms and hurricanes in the Atlantic Basin runs from mid-August through October, with September 10 being the peak of hurricane season. Hurricane season runs until November 30.
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The official hurricane season for the Atlantic basin is from June 1 to November 30, but tropical cyclone activity sometimes occurs before and after these dates, respectively. The peak of the Atlantic hurricane season is September 10, with most activity occurring between mid-August and mid-October.
October averages 2.75 named storms, and it's not uncommon for hurricanes, and even major hurricanes, to form. This year, a nascent El Niño pattern could make high-altitude winds less favorable for development, but that should be offset by near-record warm sea surface temperatures.
NOAA's update to the 2023 outlook — which covers the entire six-month hurricane season that ends on Nov. 30 — calls for 14-21 named storms (winds of 39 mph or greater), of which 6-11 could become hurricanes (winds of 74 mph or greater).Of those, 2-5 could become major hurricanes (winds of 111 mph or greater).