Shares of Uber have rallied 85% year-to-date, bringing their 12-month gain to 61%, while Lyft shares have gained 5% year-to-date but remain in the red for the last year, off 27%.
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All in all, Uber drivers in 2022 were grossing about $1,040 on average per month, while Lyft drivers were grossing $787 per month.
Lyft has received a consensus rating of Hold. The company's average rating score is 2.12, and is based on 5 buy ratings, 27 hold ratings, and 1 sell rating.
Uber stock price stood at $46.51According to the latest long-term forecast, Uber price will hit $55 by the end of 2023 and then $60 by the middle of 2024. Uber will rise to $75 within the year of 2025, $90 in 2026, $100 in 2027, $110 in 2028, $125 in 2030 and $150 in 2034.
Stock Price ForecastThe 38 analysts offering 12-month price forecasts for Uber Technologies Inc have a median target of 58.00, with a high estimate of 75.00 and a low estimate of 45.00. The median estimate represents a +30.87% increase from the last price of 44.32.
Lyft has a conensus rating of Hold which is based on 4 buy ratings, 20 hold ratings and 1 sell ratings. The average price target for Lyft is $12.15. This is based on 25 Wall Streets Analysts 12-month price targets, issued in the past 3 months.
The San Francisco-based company's share price has fallen steadily in recent months amid stiff competition from Uber, its much larger peer, and scrutiny of its business model.
As of 2022, Uber has a 71% share of sales in the U.S. rideshare market, whereas Lyft only has 29%. However, both have seen significant sales increases since 2021. As of January 2022, Uber's sales are up 84%, and Lyft sales are up 62% year-over-year.
While Uber is now a profitable company with the potential to grow those profits over time, the stock remains expensive. Analysts are expecting the company to produce earnings per share of $0.83 in 2024, putting the price-to-earnings ratio at about 60 based on that estimate.
While Uber diversified its business beyond ride-hailing by delivering meals and grocery items, Lyft never did. That arguably hurt the company earlier in the pandemic when fewer customers were traveling but more were ordering items online.
They may be in the same business, but one is a distinctly better bet than the other for investors. Both companies are in the ride-hailing business, but Uber Technologies (UBER 3.06%) and Lyft (LYFT 1.79%) are different in one important way: Uber is eight times bigger than Lyft, as measured by revenue.
Now, the San Francisco-based company is facing an existential crisis as it trails its much larger competitor, Uber, amid ongoing questions about the long-term viability of ride-hailing as a business. Since the pandemic, some analysts have questioned whether Lyft can survive as an independent company.
The pandemic initially walloped Lyft by drying up demand for ride-hailing services, a blow Uber was able to soften through an aggressive expansion in food delivery. That gave people a reason to continue using Uber's app even when they were stuck at home while Lyft fell out of favor.
In our view, Lyft warrants a narrow economic moat and a stable moat trend rating, thanks to the network effect around its ride-sharing platform and intangible assets associated with riders, rides, and mapping data, which we think can drive Lyft to profitability and excess returns on invested capital.
The valuation is compellingThe company's current market cap is $95 billion, implying it needs to 10x from here to reach a trillion. Nonetheless, Wall Street seems to be buying into Uber's investment thesis. JPMorgan, in particular, recently listed Uber as one of its top picks.
The top shareholders of Uber are Dara Khosrowshahi, Tony West, Nelson J.Chai, SB Investment Advisers (UK) Ltd., Morgan Stanley, and FMR LLC. Below, we take a closer look at the top shareholders of Uber.