Why is Carnival going down?

With shares down almost 80% over the previous five years, Carnival Corporation (CCL -0.53%) has been a punishing investment for many long-term shareholders as it has grappled with headwinds like the COVID-19 pandemic, inflation, and rising interest rates.



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Why Carnival's stock might fall. The bearish case on Carnival is that an increase in price could derail the company's growth. Plus the company's debt levels remain high, and Carnival has already incurred $1.6 billion in interest expenses over the past nine months (up from $1.2 billion a year ago).

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However, investors should note that Carnival's debt levels more than tripled throughout the COVID-19 crisis. It ended the first quarter of fiscal 2023 with $32.7 billion in long-term debt, compared to $9.7 billion at the end of fiscal 2019, which gives it a staggering debt-to-equity ratio of 5.6.

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The consensus among 15 Wall Street analysts covering (NYSE: CCL) stock is to Strong Buy CCL stock.

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How Much Debt Does Carnival Corporation & Carry? The chart below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that Carnival Corporation & had US$33.8b in debt in May 2023; about the same as the year before. However, it also had US$4.47b in cash, and so its net debt is US$29.3b.

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After discounting aggressively following years of COVID-era testing requirements and restrictions, cruise operators such as Royal Caribbean Cruises (RCL. N) and Carnival Corp (CCL. N) are looking to raise prices as occupancy levels approach pre-pandemic levels.

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Carnival Corp (NYSE:CCL) The 18 analysts offering 12-month price forecasts for Carnival Corp have a median target of 16.50, with a high estimate of 25.00 and a low estimate of 10.18. The median estimate represents a +18.79% increase from the last price of 13.89.

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Even with the threat of an impending recession, Carnival Cruise executives and analysts think the cruise line is well positioned to handle any economic downturn. While certainly not recession-proof, Carnival's executive team expressed confidence in the company's long-term outlook.

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Carnival and Disney paused dividend payments due to complications from the pandemic. Fool.com contributor Parkev Tatevosian evaluates Carnival (CCL -5.19%) and Disney (DIS -0.89%) to determine which company is in a better financial position to pay a dividend.

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