Will cruise stocks recover in 2023?

Market pros have also been inching their price targets higher for Royal Caribbean and Norwegian. It's not a surprise. The revenge travel surge that helped lift most travel and tourism stocks in 2021 and 2022 is finally coming around to raise the water for cruise line stocks in 2023.



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After gloomy performances during the pandemic, cruise stocks look poised to deliver gains for investors. Battered comps from slow travel make it easier for cruise stocks to achieve triple-digit year-over-year revenue growth. And some cruise companies have already reported that type of growth.

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Revenue in the Cruises market is projected to reach US$25.14bn in 2023. Revenue is expected to show an annual growth rate (CAGR 2023-2027) of 9.29%, resulting in a projected market volume of US$35.87bn by 2027. In the Cruises market, the number of users is expected to amount to 32.53m users by 2027.

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Cruise giant Carnival was hit hard during the worst of the pandemic. Now, a top Wall Street analyst has issued a dire potential outlook for the company in the case of recession. Morgan Stanley's Jamie Rollo outlined a worse-case scenario: Carnival stock could fall to $0 in the event of a global economic downturn.

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Carnival stock price stood at $12.74 According to the latest long-term forecast, Carnival price will hit $20 by the end of 2024 and then $25 by the end of 2026. Carnival will rise to $30 within the year of 2028, $35 in 2030, $40 in 2033 and $45 in 2035.

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Stock Price Forecast The 18 analysts offering 12-month price forecasts for Carnival Corp have a median target of 19.00, with a high estimate of 25.00 and a low estimate of 10.18. The median estimate represents a +49.14% increase from the last price of 12.74.

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The world's largest cruise line operator is trading 126% higher in 2023. It might not be too late to hop aboard. The waves keep rising for Carnival (CCL -6.60%). Shares of the world's largest cruise line operator have more than doubled this year, and the Wall Street accolades keep coming.

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CLIA forecasts passenger numbers will not only meet but exceed pre-pandemic levels by the end of 2023. And according to Cruise Industry News' cruise ship orderbook for ocean-going vessels, nearly 40 new ships are lined up to debut this year alone, with more than 75 vessels on order through 2027.

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Cruising in 2023 is mostly back to normal following the pandemic-induced changes implemented across the industry in 2021 and 2022. Pre-cruise testing has been almost entirely abolished, ships are sailing at full capacity, and new ships are being constructed.

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Out of 12 analysts, 7 (58.33%) are recommending RCL as a Strong Buy, 3 (25%) are recommending RCL as a Buy, 2 (16.67%) are recommending RCL as a Hold, 0 (0%) are recommending RCL as a Sell, and 0 (0%) are recommending RCL as a Strong Sell.

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Compared to the current market price of 12.5 USD, Carnival Corp is Undervalued by 63%.

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Carnival's stock is still vulnerable due to its massive $30 billion-plus debt load it had to accumulate during the pandemic. Now that we're on the other side of the pandemic and getting back to normal, it's no surprise there's volatility.

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