How accurate are flight times?

The accuracy of the arrival time varies; it's generally better at a major airport (often within a minute) than out in the boonies (can be ~15 minutes off). You can check the altitude in the tracklog to get an idea of how reasonable the arrival time is.



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In air travel, as delays are both common and potentially expensive, the scheduled flight time is usually increased to about 110% of the expected flight time, however some airlines are reportedly now padding by as much as 50%.

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Answer: Airlines create flight times based on the previous history of the flight. As an example, every airline flying into New York on a Friday afternoon knows that there will be delays, so additional time is added to the schedule. This added time is not needed for an 11 p.m. arrival on a Sunday.

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Over the years, flight times have increased. The main culprit: busier airports and skies. “It takes longer to complete a flight, especially in the Northeast,” said Brett Snyder, president of Cranky Flier. “There's more air and ground congestion.”

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One pilot confessed to Reader's Digest that airlines exaggerate their times to make themselves look better. “No, it's not your imagination: Airlines really have adjusted their flight arrival times so they can have a better record of on-time arrivals,” the AirTran Airways captain said.

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For the first two months of 2023, the most current figures available, the Bureau of Transportation Statistics reported that more than 860,000 planes arrived on time, or about 78 percent. Delta ranked first in punctuality, with about 81 percent. Frontier took last place, with about 66 percent.

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Plane crashes are most likely during the first three minutes and last eight minutes of the flight. Called the Plus Three Minus Eight rule, statistically, this is the most dangerous time, according to a Ben Sherwood, author of The Survivors Club — The Secrets and Science That Could Save Your Life”.

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Timing plays an important part. Specifically, plane tickets usually don't get cheaper closer to the departure date. Instead, flights tend to be the most inexpensive when you book between four months and three weeks before your departure date.

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According to data from the Bureau of Transportation Statistics (which currently only has numbers through May), 20.8 percent of flights were delayed so far in 2023, compared to 18.8 percent in 2019.

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What is a good connection time? Travel advisers say there's a lot to take into account when booking connecting flights, but a general rule of thumb is 60-90 minutes between domestic flights and at least two to three hours for international itineraries.

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In most cases, airlines recommend allowing at least two hours between connecting flights to ensure that you have plenty of time to make your connection. This allows for any potential delays or unexpected issues that may arise during the flight and gives you ample time to get from one gate to another.

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Turbulence from Convection Currents and Obstructions. Convection currents cause the bumpiness experienced by pilots flying at low altitudes in warmer weather. On a low flight over varying surfaces, the pilot will encounter updrafts over pavement or barren places and downdraft over vegetation and water.

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Short-haul is a flight lasting anywhere from 30 minutes to 3 hours. Medium-haul is defined by flights lasting between 3-6 hours. And lastly, long-haul flights are those that extend beyond 6 hours.

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Since the jet streams flow from west to east, they make one leg of the journey much faster (when flying with the stream) and one slower (against the stream). Imagine going downstream or upstream a river, or how it feels when you are cycling against the wind, as opposed to when you have it at your back.

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Remember that anything over 6 hours flying time is considered long haul, but flights of longer than 10 hours are not uncommon either. One important thing to remember is to keep your seat belt fastened at all times in case of unexpected turbulence.

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When flying east to west, there is more turbulence. The jet streams blow against the airplane which results in strong headwinds blowing against the turbines, creating turbulence. Jet streams are high-altitude air currents caused by Earth's rotation and atmospheric heating.

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Although modern airplanes fly higher but slower than their predecessors, this evolution has been a necessary adaptation to the changing landscape of the aviation industry.

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