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Is travel increasing or decreasing?

Total travel spending remained at 1.2% above last year's levels for the third month in a row and was up 4.1% year-to-date through July 2023. Air travel demand was up 12% in July compared to the same month last year, consistent with the prior month.



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Overall, global passenger demand is estimated to grow 22% year-on-year in 2023 and 6% in 2024, Moody's investor service said on Tuesday.

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Travel and tourism GDP is predicted to grow, on average, at 5.8 percent a year between 2022 and 2032, outpacing the growth of the overall economy at an expected 2.7 percent a year. 5.

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Indeed, the World Travel & Tourism Council (WTTC) forecasts that the global travel and tourism sector will reach US$9.5 trillion in 2023 — just 5% below 2019 pre-pandemic levels. The positive summer travel outlook is echoed by data from J.P. Morgan Research.

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Travelers are increasingly opting for destinations abroad at the expense of domestic trips. That's driving up international airfares and room rates, while domestic growth lags. The shift is good news for passengers who want to stay closer to home — but bad news for airlines that have U.S.-heavy schedules.

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The number of Americans visiting Europe this year is expected to surge up to 55% higher than 2022. Not since the 1970s has Steve Perillo, CEO and third-generation owner of New Jersey-based tour operator Perillo Tours, seen such a spike in travelers booking trips to Europe.

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International tourism receipts grew back to hit the USD1 trillion mark in 2022, growing 50% in real terms compared to 2021, driven by the important rebound in international travel. International visitor spending reached 64% of pre-pandemic levels (-36% compared to 2019, measured in real terms).

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Rising prices and inflation have caused 77% of holiday travelers to modify their plans, according to Bankrate, and 27% of travelers are likely to take a car instead of a plane to their destination, specifically due to inflation.

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A significant reduction in the number of travel agents. According to the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, full-time agents declined from a peak of 124,000 in 2000 to 82,000 in 2019. From 1997 to 2013, retail travel agency headcount fell by 59 percent—from 22,938 to 9,387, said Skift, a travel media and events company.

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Wherever in the world you look, you'll see people itching to travel. Most high-income earners have not lost their jobs. In the United States, the savings rate among this demographic is 10 to 20 percent higher now than before the pandemic, and such people are eager to spend their money on travel.

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As a result, summer 2023 is the most expensive time on record to travel to Europe, Hopper said. The average ticket costs about $1,200, eclipsing the previous high in 2018 by $50 a ticket. In Asia, the No. 2 most-popular destination for Americans, average prices are 64% higher than pre-pandemic levels, Berg said.

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It mostly comes down to supply and demand. Demand is contributing to higher prices as travel continues to surge post-pandemic, Berg said. Sustained strong demand in 2023 continues to put additional pressure on prices, especially to and within regions where travel has only recently reopened like parts of Asia.

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According to the Global Firepower's 2023 Military Strength Ranking, the strongest militaries in Europe - after Russia - are currently the UK, France, and Italy. The UK's position is mostly due to its manpower and airpower, while France can count on a strong helicopter fleet and several destroyer warships.

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Global tourism arrivals will increase by 30% in 2023, following growth of 60% in 2022, but will remain below pre-pandemic levels.

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