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Why is Carnival dropping?

Carnival shares sank on Monday after the company's current quarter profit outlook missed expectations. The cruise line operator said a slower-than-expected drop in inflation will raise costs. Carnival's sales in the second quarter hit a record high, and its loss was below estimates.



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On average, Wall Street analysts predict that Carnival's share price could reach $18.23 by Oct 2, 2024. The average Carnival stock price prediction forecasts a potential upside of 33.67% from the current CCL share price of $13.64.

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The world's largest cruise line operator is trading 126% higher in 2023. It might not be too late to hop aboard. The waves keep rising for Carnival (CCL -6.60%). Shares of the world's largest cruise line operator have more than doubled this year, and the Wall Street accolades keep coming.

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For the fiscal year, Carnival forecasts an adjusted loss of 4-12 cents a share. Carnival guided fiscal 2023 adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation and amortization (EBITDA) between $4.1 billion to $4.2 billion, which includes a $125 million hit due to fuel prices.

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Even with the threat of an impending recession, Carnival Cruise executives and analysts think the cruise line is well positioned to handle any economic downturn. While certainly not recession-proof, Carnival's executive team expressed confidence in the company's long-term outlook.

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Carnival stock price stood at $12.74 According to the latest long-term forecast, Carnival price will hit $20 by the end of 2024 and then $25 by the end of 2026. Carnival will rise to $30 within the year of 2028, $35 in 2030, $40 in 2033 and $45 in 2035.

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Market pros have also been inching their price targets higher for Royal Caribbean and Norwegian. It's not a surprise. The revenge travel surge that helped lift most travel and tourism stocks in 2021 and 2022 is finally coming around to raise the water for cruise line stocks in 2023.

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Compared to the current market price of 12.5 USD, Carnival Corp is Undervalued by 63%.

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Ship size and capacity: Carnival operates some of the largest cruise ships in the world, which allows them to accommodate a larger number of passengers. The higher passenger capacity spreads operational costs over more people, leading to potential cost savings.

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One common explanation for the difference involves special voting rights connected to Carnival Corporation shares. As part of the 2003 merger of Carnival and P&O Princess Cruises PLC, shares of Carnival Corporation were paired with trust shares in a special voting trust.

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