Will Carnival cruises go out of business?

The answer mainly has to do with debt. No, Carnivals not likely to go bankrupt. It still has $7 billion in liquidity on its balance sheet as of the most recent quarters end, which should tide it over for a few more quarters.



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Key Points. The cruise line had to take on massive debt to stay afloat. Analysts believe Carnival will return to profitability in fiscal 2023.

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The world's largest cruise line operator is trading 126% higher in 2023. It might not be too late to hop aboard. The waves keep rising for Carnival (CCL -6.60%). Shares of the world's largest cruise line operator have more than doubled this year, and the Wall Street accolades keep coming.

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Carnival is planning to remove three “smaller-less efficient ships from its fleet,” according to the Fourth Quarter 2022 Business Update.

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Six Ships Have Now Left the Carnival Fleet: Here's Where They Went
  • Carnival Fantasy. Year Built: 1990. Capacity (at 100% occupancy): 2,044. ...
  • Carnival Inspiration. Year Built: 1996. ...
  • Carnival Imagination. Year Built: 1995. ...
  • Carnival Fascination. Year Built: 1994. ...
  • Carnival Sensation. Year Built: 1993. ...
  • Carnival Ecstasy. Year Built: 1991.


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Carnival shares sank on Monday after the company's current quarter profit outlook missed expectations. The cruise line operator said a slower-than-expected drop in inflation will raise costs. Carnival's sales in the second quarter hit a record high, and its loss was below estimates.

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In addition, Carnival Glory will sail a 14-day Transatlantic voyage on April 18, 2024, that features several popular European destinations, including Valencia, and Las Palmas (Canary Islands), Spain, before arriving to its new homeport of Port Canaveral, Fla.

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CLIA forecasts passenger numbers will not only meet but exceed pre-pandemic levels by the end of 2023. And according to Cruise Industry News' cruise ship orderbook for ocean-going vessels, nearly 40 new ships are lined up to debut this year alone, with more than 75 vessels on order through 2027.

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Carnival has 45.58% upside potential, based on the analysts' average price target. Carnival has a conensus rating of Strong Buy which is based on 10 buy ratings, 3 hold ratings and 0 sell ratings. The average price target for Carnival is $18.27.

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With this debt repayment, we now expect our year end debt balance to be less than $32.0 billion , an improvement over the November 30, 2023 debt balance of less than $33.0 billion provided in our June guidance.

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How Much Debt Does Carnival Corporation & Carry? The chart below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that Carnival Corporation & had US$33.8b in debt in May 2023; about the same as the year before. However, it also had US$4.47b in cash, and so its net debt is US$29.3b.

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Ship size and capacity: Carnival operates some of the largest cruise ships in the world, which allows them to accommodate a larger number of passengers. The higher passenger capacity spreads operational costs over more people, leading to potential cost savings.

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Carnival stock price stood at $12.74 According to the latest long-term forecast, Carnival price will hit $20 by the end of 2024 and then $25 by the end of 2026. Carnival will rise to $30 within the year of 2028, $35 in 2030, $40 in 2033 and $45 in 2035.

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Cruise giant Carnival was hit hard during the worst of the pandemic. Now, a top Wall Street analyst has issued a dire potential outlook for the company in the case of recession. Morgan Stanley's Jamie Rollo outlined a worse-case scenario: Carnival stock could fall to $0 in the event of a global economic downturn.

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