Will pilots be replaced by artificial intelligence?

Additionally, AI-powered pilots could be used to fly aircraft in dangerous or remote areas where human pilots would not be safe. Overall, it is likely that AI will play an increasingly important role in aviation in the years to come. However, it is not likely that AI will replace human pilots anytime soon.



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In the current estimate for 2021-2040, over the next two decades 612,000 new pilots will be required worldwide, with 130,000 of these in North America, primarily the U.S.. Expectations are similar for other staff in the aviation industry such as mechanics and cabin crew, as the whole market expands.

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Aside from the realities of the physics of flight, people will always want to be on the move. Demand for air travel will keep growing in the foreseeable future, according to IATA, whose recent figures show that demand is expected to reach 94% of 2019 levels in 2023 and will increase to 103% in 2024 and 111% in 2025.

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Job Outlook Overall employment of airline and commercial pilots is projected to grow 4 percent from 2022 to 2032, about as fast as the average for all occupations. About 16,800 openings for airline and commercial pilots are projected each year, on average, over the decade.

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Boeing Forecast Trusted by more than 100 aviation regulatory agencies worldwide, the current Boeing Pilot & Technician Outlook concludes that the aviation industry will need to supply more than 602,000 commercial airline pilots worldwide over the next 20 years2.

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What Jobs Will AI Replace (and Why)?
  • Transportation and material moving (nearly 12 million jobs)
  • Sales and sales-related roles (3.8 million jobs)
  • Production (2.8 million jobs)
  • Office and administrative support (14.4 million jobs)
  • Food preparation and service (4.4 million jobs)


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While the future of aviation may see the integration of autonomous aircraft, it is unlikely that pilots will become obsolete in the next 50 years. The human element in aviation is essential, providing expertise, decision-making abilities, and a sense of security to passengers.

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No. A lot more development is still needed to bring unmanned aircraft up to the capabilities of manned aircraft. And manned aircraft are still very effective and have a number of considerable advantages at present. The other factor is that airforce leaders want to maintain men under their command rather than robots.

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The bottom line is that Bruno Nouzille thinks there will be pilots in the cockpit for a long time to come. But with flight crews working with increasingly complex automated systems, there will need to be significant changes in how humans and systems interact.

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Job Outlook
Overall employment of airline and commercial pilots is projected to grow 6 percent from 2021 to 2031, about as fast as the average for all occupations. About 18,100 openings for airline and commercial pilots are projected each year, on average, over the decade.

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The first self-flying cargo planes will enter civil aviation, sharing the skies with piloted airplanes. Small, self-flying planes will begin carrying passengers on short, regional flights. Larger passenger jets will begin operating without a pilot on the flight.

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Job Outlook
Overall employment of airline and commercial pilots is projected to grow 6 percent from 2021 to 2031, about as fast as the average for all occupations. About 18,100 openings for airline and commercial pilots are projected each year, on average, over the decade.

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