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What is going on with cruise stocks?

Despite pulling back from 2023 highs in July, Royal Caribbean and Carnival are still among the top performers in the S&P 500 this year. Royal Caribbean stock soared nearly 86% in 2023 while CCL stock spiked roughly 70%. Norwegian Cruise Line shares tumbled nearly 23% this quarter but are up 34% in 2023.



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Cruise stocks fell Tuesday, with Norwegian Cruise Line plummeting, after the company set a third-quarter profit outlook that was narrower than Wall Street expected. Norwegian's shares were recently down more than 12%, on pace to break a four-day winning streak and one of the S&P 500's worst performances on the day.

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Market pros have also been inching their price targets higher for Royal Caribbean and Norwegian. It's not a surprise. The revenge travel surge that helped lift most travel and tourism stocks in 2021 and 2022 is finally coming around to raise the water for cruise line stocks in 2023.

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After gloomy performances during the pandemic, cruise stocks look poised to deliver gains for investors. Battered comps from slow travel make it easier for cruise stocks to achieve triple-digit year-over-year revenue growth. And some cruise companies have already reported that type of growth.

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Stock Price Forecast The 18 analysts offering 12-month price forecasts for Carnival Corp have a median target of 19.00, with a high estimate of 25.00 and a low estimate of 10.18. The median estimate represents a +49.14% increase from the last price of 12.74.

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Stock Price Forecast The 15 analysts offering 12-month price forecasts for Royal Caribbean Cruises Ltd have a median target of 125.00, with a high estimate of 139.00 and a low estimate of 95.00. The median estimate represents a +44.03% increase from the last price of 86.79.

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Cruise giant Carnival was hit hard during the worst of the pandemic. Now, a top Wall Street analyst has issued a dire potential outlook for the company in the case of recession. Morgan Stanley's Jamie Rollo outlined a worse-case scenario: Carnival stock could fall to $0 in the event of a global economic downturn.

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Based on 13 Wall Street analysts offering 12 month price targets for Carnival in the last 3 months. The average price target is $18.27 with a high forecast of $23.00 and a low forecast of $14.00. The average price target represents a 43.18% change from the last price of $12.76.

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CLIA forecasts passenger numbers will not only meet but exceed pre-pandemic levels by the end of 2023. And according to Cruise Industry News' cruise ship orderbook for ocean-going vessels, nearly 40 new ships are lined up to debut this year alone, with more than 75 vessels on order through 2027.

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Out of 12 analysts, 7 (58.33%) are recommending RCL as a Strong Buy, 3 (25%) are recommending RCL as a Buy, 2 (16.67%) are recommending RCL as a Hold, 0 (0%) are recommending RCL as a Sell, and 0 (0%) are recommending RCL as a Strong Sell.

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So what trends are emerging as we sail into 2023? More travellers are looking to escape on itineraries that provide cultural and destination immersion; solo cruising is on the up; and people want to spend more on bucket-list luxury cruises.

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