Why are cruise stocks dropping?

Cruise stocks fell Tuesday, with Norwegian Cruise Line plummeting, after the company set a third-quarter profit outlook that was narrower than Wall Street expected. Norwegian's shares were recently down more than 12%, on pace to break a four-day winning streak and one of the S&P 500's worst performances on the day.



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Despite pulling back from 2023 highs in July, Royal Caribbean and Carnival are still among the top performers in the S&P 500 this year. Royal Caribbean stock soared nearly 86% in 2023 while CCL stock spiked roughly 70%. Norwegian Cruise Line shares tumbled nearly 23% this quarter but are up 34% in 2023.

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Stock Price Forecast The 15 analysts offering 12-month price forecasts for Royal Caribbean Cruises Ltd have a median target of 125.00, with a high estimate of 139.00 and a low estimate of 95.00. The median estimate represents a +44.03% increase from the last price of 86.79.

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June 26 (Reuters) - Cruise operator Carnival (CCL. N) on Monday forecast third-quarter profit largely below estimates as rising marketing and labor costs eat into gains from higher ticket prices and strong demand.

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Shares of cruise line stocks Carnival Corp. (CCL), Royal Caribbean (RCL), and Norwegian (NCLH) close lower on Tuesday as Morgan Stanley analysts slash their price targets, citing rising fuel costs in travel demand headwinds. Recently spun-off companies Vestis Corporation (VSTS), Veralto (VLTO), and WK Kellogg Co.

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On average, Wall Street analysts predict that Carnival's share price could reach $18.23 by Oct 2, 2024. The average Carnival stock price prediction forecasts a potential upside of 33.67% from the current CCL share price of $13.64.

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Cruise giant Carnival was hit hard during the worst of the pandemic. Now, a top Wall Street analyst has issued a dire potential outlook for the company in the case of recession. Morgan Stanley's Jamie Rollo outlined a worse-case scenario: Carnival stock could fall to $0 in the event of a global economic downturn.

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Out of 12 analysts, 7 (58.33%) are recommending RCL as a Strong Buy, 3 (25%) are recommending RCL as a Buy, 2 (16.67%) are recommending RCL as a Hold, 0 (0%) are recommending RCL as a Sell, and 0 (0%) are recommending RCL as a Strong Sell.

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Stock Price Forecast The 18 analysts offering 12-month price forecasts for Carnival Corp have a median target of 19.00, with a high estimate of 25.00 and a low estimate of 10.18. The median estimate represents a +49.14% increase from the last price of 12.74.

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The cruise industry took a big hit during the pandemic. But now travelers are casting off in record numbers, thanks to a post-COVID cruise comeback. The 2023 cruise industry is booming. It has far surpassed 2019 levels, breaking sales records in a furious, post-pandemic comeback.

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Cruise bookings this year are projected to come close to 2019 numbers but likely fall short of prepandemic levels until 2024, according to a new report from Phocuswright. The report, the U.S. Cruise Market Report 2022-2026, shows 2023 will be a significant year for the cruise industry's recovery.

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Cruise passenger volume is forecast to reach 106% of 2019 levels in 2023—with 31.5 million passengers sailing. This compares to the UNWTO forecast t(January 2023) that international tourist arrivals in 2023 will be 80% to 95% of 2019 levels.

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The 2023 cruise industry is booming. It has far surpassed 2019 levels, breaking sales records in a furious, post-pandemic comeback. Like most tourism sectors, cruising is reaping the benefits of “revenge travel”— vacationers making up for the time that was lost during the pandemic.

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Carnival stock price stood at $12.74 According to the latest long-term forecast, Carnival price will hit $20 by the end of 2024 and then $25 by the end of 2026. Carnival will rise to $30 within the year of 2028, $35 in 2030, $40 in 2033 and $45 in 2035.

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Market pros have also been inching their price targets higher for Royal Caribbean and Norwegian. It's not a surprise. The revenge travel surge that helped lift most travel and tourism stocks in 2021 and 2022 is finally coming around to raise the water for cruise line stocks in 2023.

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The world's largest cruise line operator is trading 126% higher in 2023. It might not be too late to hop aboard. The waves keep rising for Carnival (CCL -6.60%). Shares of the world's largest cruise line operator have more than doubled this year, and the Wall Street accolades keep coming.

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In the case of Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings, both the revenue per share (evident from the last five years' TTM data: 2019: 28.67; 2020: 21.68; 2021: 0.08; 2022: 5.74; 2023: 16.54; ) and the 5-year revenue growth rate (-32%) have been on a consistent downward trajectory.

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