I can't speak to the average wait time, but if it's outside the attraction entrance, you're looking at 30 minutes at the very least. If the Lightning Lane is backed up, virtual queue return wait times of 60-90 minutes are entirely plausible, as priority is given to paid Lightning Lane users.

Once your boarding group is called for TRON Lightcycle / Run at Magic Kingdom, the physical wait in the line typically ranges from 20 to 60 minutes, despite having a "reservation." The virtual queue only grants you access to enter the line, not immediate boarding. In 2026, Disney continues to use this system to prevent massive crowds from overwhelming the Tomorrowland area. To minimize your wait, many guests suggest joining the line around 5:00 PM—after the midday rush but before the "after-dark" crowd gathers to see the canopy lighting effects. If you want a guaranteed wait of under 15 minutes, purchasing a Lightning Lane Single Pass is the best option, though these often sell out days in advance. For those using the virtual queue at the very end of the night, actual wait times can sometimes drop to 15-20 minutes, as Disney often inflates posted times to discourage last-minute entries.